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Emerging Middle Powers Report 2026
Tested, Trusted, Torn?
How does the view of foreign policy differ in the emerging middle powers Brazil, India and South Africa? Where are the differences and similarities to Germany and what does this mean for Germany’s role in the world? Find out in our new study “Emerging Middle Powers Report 2026: Tested, Trusted, Torn?”
For the third time, the report includes the results of a survey of more than 1,000 foreign policy experts from Brazil, Germany, India, Indonesie and South Africa.
Survey Highlights
Respondents in all five countries expect the future international order to centre on multiple plurilateral and regional arrangements.
On average, 80% of respondents across the five countries view the global influence of the United States negatively.
Indian respondents rank Russia as their country’s most important bilateral partner, while Brazilian respondents rank China first.
53% of German respondents support a non-aligned stance, up from 29% in the previous survey.
89% of Indonesian respondents see ASEAN as their country’s key international grouping, while 74% of South African ones say the same about BRICS.
Respondents across all five countries expect military conflicts to escalate over the next five years.
